Oahu Surf Report

San Francisco Santa Cruz Monterey San Luis Obispo Santa Barbara Ventura/Oxnard Los Angeles Orange County San Diego Kauai Oahu Maui Big Island
 
Friday, December 15th, 4:15am PST
Hawaii Buoys Swell Wind Temp
NORTHWESTERN HAWAII ONE
 
8.5 ft 14 sec --- 19-23 kt 50° 75.0 °F
NORTHWESTERN HAWAII TWO
 
8.9 ft 7 sec 58° 21-25 kt 50° 74.7 °F
NORTHERN HAWAII ONE
 
12.1 ft 14 sec 321° 23-27 kt 20° 73.9 °F
Hanalei, Kauai, HI
 
10.8 ft 12 sec 317° --- --- 76.3 °F
Waimea Bay, HI
 
11.5 ft 13 sec --- --- --- 74.5 °F
Kaneohe Bay, WETS, HI
 
9.5 ft 8 sec --- --- --- 76.6 °F
Mokapu Point, HI
 
10.2 ft 8 sec 19° --- --- 76.3 °F
Pearl Harbor Entrance, HI
 
1.6 ft 9 sec 157° --- --- 77.2 °F
Pauwela, Maui, HI
 
12.5 ft 13 sec --- --- --- 77.5 °F
Hilo, Hawaii, HI
 
11.5 ft 14 sec 327° --- --- 77.0 °F
WESTERN HAWAII
 
13.1 ft 9 sec 36° 23-29 kt 40° 77.4 °F
SOUTHEAST HAWAII
 
11.5 ft 16 sec 332° 10-14 kt 20° 78.4 °F
SOUTHWEST HAWAII
 
11.5 ft 9 sec 19° 14-17 kt 30° 78.3 °F
Ritidian Point, Guam
 
5.9 ft 10 sec --- --- --- 84.4 °F
Ipan, Guam
 
5.2 ft 10 sec --- --- --- 84.9 °F
Kalo, Majuro, Marshall Islands
 
5.6 ft 10 sec --- --- --- 84.7 °F
Aunuu, American Samoa
 
4.9 ft 13 sec --- --- --- 84.9 °F
Buoy data courtesy of NOAA and CDIP
 

NORTHWESTERN HAWAII TWO (NOAA 51101)

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Waimea Bay, Oahu (CDIP 106)

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Mokapu Point, Oahu (CDIP 098)

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View all buoy charts  >>
Buoy data courtesy of NOAA and CDIP
 
Waimea Bay Buoy 7-day Forecast
Waimea Bay buoy forecast courtesy of CDIP
 
Waimea Bay buoy directional graphic courtesy of CDIP
 
 Oahu Wind Observations
KahukuNNE(25°)5-11 kt1:00 am  Fri 12/15
Kahuku TrngSW(231°)10-23 kt12:59 am  Fri 12/15
KiiNNE(19°)17-30 kt12:45 am  Fri 12/15
Oahu Forest NwrENE(64°)14-29 kt1:36 am  Fri 12/15
Kaneohe Mcbh--
BellowsNNE(33°)17-26 kt1:00 am  Fri 12/15
Honolulu ApN(2°)7-18 kt1:00 am  Fri 12/15
Honouliuli Fws--
Waiawa Fws--
Schofield Brks--
Schofield South--
Wheeler AafN(353°)7-14 kt1:30 am  Fri 12/15
KalaeloaCalm1:00 am  Fri 12/15
PalehuaNNE(30°)7-20 kt1:36 am  Fri 12/15
Waianae ValleyWNW(295°)13-34 kt1:37 am  Fri 12/15
Waianae HarborN(6°)5-19 kt1:15 am  Fri 12/15
Makua RangeWSW(257°)15-34 kt12:58 am  Fri 12/15
KuaokalaNNE(16°)32-43 kt1:36 am  Fri 12/15

Wind observations courtesy of the National Weather Service
 
Haleiwa, Oahu tide chart


Waimanalo, Oahu tide chart


Honolulu, Oahu tide chart
Tide chart courtesy of The University of South Carolina
 
Oahu cloud cover
Satellite imagery courtesy of the National Weather Service
 
Tropical storms map courtesy of the University of Hawaii Institute for Astronomy
 
Coastal waters forecast courtesy of the National Weather Service
 
FZHW52 PHFO 150136 SRFHFO Surf Zone Forecast National Weather Service Honolulu HI 336 PM HST Thu Dec 14 2017 Oahu- 336 PM HST Thu Dec 14 2017
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR NORTH AND WEST FACING SHORES... Surf along north facing shores will be 15 to 20 feet tonight, lowering to 8 to 12 feet Friday. Surf along west facing shores will be 8 to 12 feet tonight, dropping to 6 to 8 feet Friday. Surf along east facing shores will be 3 to 6 feet tonight, rising to 7 to 9 feet Friday. Surf along south facing shores will be 2 feet or less through Friday. Outlook through Thursday December 21: The current north-northwest swell will slowly subside through Saturday. Strengthening winds will cause rough surf on east facing shores into the weekend. A moderate northwest swell is expected late in this weekend into Monday, but should remain below advisory level. A moderate north-northwest swell is forecast to arrive Tuesday, peak Tuesday night, then slowly lower through Wednesday night. A larger, north swell may impact the area beginning Thursday night. Surf heights are forecast heights of the face, or front, of waves. The surf forecast is based on the significant wave height, the average height of the one third largest waves, at the locations of the largest breakers. Some waves may be more than twice as high as the significant wave height. Expect to encounter rip currents in or near any surf zone.




Oahu surf zone forecast courtesy of the National Weather Service
 
COLLABORATIVE NEARSHORE SWELL AND WIND FORECAST FOR OAHU
NWS/NCDDC HONOLULU HI

241 PM HST WED DEC 13 2017


This collaborative forecast will be updated Monday through Friday at 300 PM when Pat Caldwell is available.

FORECAST
DATE
SWL
HGT
DMNT
DIR
DMNT
PD
H
1/3
H
1/10
HGT
TEND

PROB
WIND
SPD
WIND
DIR
SPD
TEND
1PM
12/13
16NW173644SAME11-16NSAME
THU
12/14
12NW152432DOWNMED22-27NEUP
9NE735UPLOW
FRI
12/15
6NW141012DOWNMED19-23NEDOWN
11NE9810UPLOW
SAT
12/16
4NNW1268DOWNLOW4-6VRBSAME
6ENE968SAMELOW
SUN
12/17
5WNW14810UPLOW7-10SUP
4ENE946DOWNLOW
MON
12/18
5NW13810DOWNLOW4-6VRBSAME
2NNW1724UPLOW
3ENE934DOWNLOW
1SSW1723UPLOW
LEGEND:

SWL HGTOpen ocean swell height measured from trough to crestin feet located 20 nautical miles offshore
DMNT DIRDominant direction typically +/-10 degrees in 16 compasspoints
DMNT PDDominant period in seconds
H1/3Significant wave height in the surf zone
H1/10Average height in the highest one-tenth waves in the surfzone
HGT TENDHeight tendency of swell (valid values: UP/DOWN/SAME)
PROBProbability of occurrence (valid values: HIGH/MED/LOW)
WIND SPDOpen water wind speed measured in knots located20 nautical miles offshore
WIND DIRWind direction in 16 compass points
SPD TENDWind speed tendency (valid values: UP/DOWN/SAME)
Oahu Surf Climatology

Surf heights will vary between different beaches and at the same beach at different break areas.

DISCUSSION: SUMMARY:. Settling down from NW to N toward weekend as NE exposures rise.

DETAILED:. Mid Wednesday on northern shores has extra-large to marginally giant breakers from 310-350 degrees. Heights should remain extra- large into Thursday.

NOAA NW Hawaii buoys from midnight to noon 12/13 show a rise then a steady signature in the long period energy of 15-19 seconds from 310-320 degrees. This energy was generated by severe gales to hurricane- force winds over a vast area west of the Date Line to the NW Pacific basin 12/9-11. With the large fetch and long distance, this event should be long-lived. Extra-large breakers should hold into Thursday with a steady decline to near the Fall average on Friday morning. Surf should drop to small levels from 310-320 degrees by Saturday.

The PacIOOS nearshore buoys 12/13 off north shores of Kauai and Oahu show the rise in the 14-22 second band energy toward noon from the aforementioned NW remote source. The wave energy in the 10-14 second bands are also active 12/13 from 315-350 degrees. The latter was generated by gales east of the Date Line 12/11-12 nosing south of 30N over the 315-340 degree band to within 500 nm of Hawaii. At the same time, near gales covered a long fetch 12/11-12 over the 330-360 degree band north of 30N to the Aleutians. Short- to moderate period swell from 315-350 degrees should remain above average with a steady decline on Thursday. Below average breakers from 330-360 degrees should hold into Saturday.

The next pattern out west for waves was a short-fetch of severe gales hugging Japan 12/11-12. With the long travel distance, only 1-2 feet long-period WNW swell is expected from this source late Saturday into Sunday. Surf from another source is expected on Sunday.

The complex area of low pressure with a center near the western Aleutians and a front stretching to the subtropics 12/12-13 is modelled to move east, crossing the Date Line Thursday night. Near gale to low-end gales over the 300-320 degree band south of 40N are expected to reach about 1200 nm away early Friday. This would be just over a 2 day travel, so the surf should be climbing mid morning Sunday. Peak seas of the source are only expected to near 16 feet near the Date Line, so the associated surf locally should remain below the Fall average. It should peak Sunday night and slowly drop on Monday.

Stronger winds to severe gales are modelled 12/15-16 associated with the same weather pattern but north of 40N to the Aleutians near to east of the Date Line. The highest aim is predicted at targets NE of Hawaii. It should be close enough to the Hawaii great circle to bring low, long-period swell from 320-350 degrees rising Monday afternoon. It should peak 12/19 below average.

Mid Wednesday on eastern shores has nil short-period energy from 45-90 degrees. An increase is expected on Thursday. Select exposures have above average breakers from refracting and diffraction NW to NNW swell aforementioned.

See the latest NWS State Forecast Discussion regarding the trend in the local winds and weather into the weekend.

An upper level cut-off low is predicted to form just NE of the Big Island on Thursday with a slow W-component drift into Saturday. A surface high pressure moving east from NW of Hawaii 12/13, in combination with the low to the east, is modelled to set up a 500 nm long fetch of strong breezes over the 30-50 degree band, nosing into Oahu by Thursday. Breakers from windswell should climb Thursday to above the trade windswell average by the evening. Heights should hold above average into Saturday morning from 30-50 degrees.

Fresh to strong ENE trades east of the low pressure to the immediate east of Hawaii 12/15-16 should keep windswell surf above average 12/16 from 50-90 degrees. Heights should slowly trend down Sunday into Monday.

Mid Wednesday on southern shores has near nil energy from the southern hemisphere. Heights should remain at the seasonal minimum on Thursday.

Other than E windswell for the weekend at select exposures, the next waves for the south shore are predicted to slowly fill in late Monday from 190-200 degrees, generated by gales SSE of New Zealand 12/10-11.

Into the long range, the low SSW event should peak 12/19 and drop 12/20.

In the northern hemisphere, strong to near gales north of 30N to the immediate NW to N of Hawaii 12/17-19 could bring in a short- period NNW to N event to the Fall average building Tuesday 12/19 and holding into 12/20. A storm-force system in the Kamchatka corner 12/17-18 could have long-period, near to above average NW surf locally within 12/20-22.

Fresh to strong local winds from within SSW to NNW associated with nearby winter low pressure could make short-period windswell within 12/20-22. It is too early for specifics.

Long range forecasts are subject to major revisions.

This collaborative forecast will resume on Friday, December 15.

This forecast was produced through the collaborative efforts of NWS and NCEI. Please send suggestions to w-hfo.webmaster@noaa.gov or call the Warning Coordination Meteorologist at 808-973-5275.

ADDITIONAL RESOURCES: See http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/marine.php

NWS Forecaster and NCEI Pat Caldwell

Pat Caldwell surf report courtesy of the National Weather Service
 
Wetsand Hawaii 7-day forecast
Surfline Oahu North Shore 3-day forecast
Oahu South Shore 3-day forecast
Magic Seaweed Pipeline 10-day forecast
Ala Moana 10-day forecast
Long-range surf forecasts provided by Wetsand, Surfline and Magicseaweed